This October, I’m headed to Nepal to check out some work by some climate scientists and glacial researchers that I co-manage. Fun times. My recent daily readings have shifted away from urban adaptation to glacial science in the Himalayas and Andes.
This paper is an update to previous research by a scientist Dr. Walter Immerzeel. He does a major U-turn, where before his research showed that glacial rivers would shrink due to climate change. Now he is reversing, showing that climate change will in fact keep the rivers flowing.
The latest research led by Dr Walter Immerzeel, a scientist from Utrecht University in the Netherlands and visiting scientist at the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD) in Nepal, indicates that increasing rains would prevent rivers from drying up. His earlier works, published in Science in June 2010, indicated worrisome drop in the levels of the same rivers by 2050.
New results from Dr Immerzeel’s research indicate that water levels of the rivers will not drop over the next century due to an increase in monsoon rains in the region. However, climate change will result in smaller glaciers and less meltwater in the Himalayas. The research shows that although the size of the glaciers in the basins of the Indus and the Ganges will decrease in the 21st century, water discharge will however increase.
I’ve blogged a little about it in the past. The basic line is that China and and rich countries in the Middle East, like the UAE, have purchased tens of thousands of acres of prime lands in Africa. The rumor is that these countries want to own and manage their own agricultural supplies. And these countries are blamed for bribing local officials to kick off existing families and villages.
Analysis and evidence are very thin for these claims, and I’ve backed off posting about it over the past couple years. And now, serendipitously, a new book is out debunking this myth. I’ve asked for a review copy and will post a mini-review if they send me one.
‘The great African land grab? Agricultural investments and the global food system’by IIED’s Lorenzo Cotula in partnership with Zed Books and Centre of African Studies:Booksigning:
When:Monday 15 July, 6:00pm to 8:00pm
Where: Brunei Suite, SOAS
Register: Please register online at http://www.royalafricansociety.org/event/great-african-land-grab
About the book
Lorenzo Cotula’s book aims to debunk many of the myths surrounding land acquisitions in Africa and analyse their internal implications for African stakeholders and the external consequences for global food security.
Over the past few years, large-scale land acquisitions in Africa have stoked controversy, making headlines in media reports across the world. Land that only a short time ago seemed of little outside interest is now a commodity in high demand. Private-sector expectations of higher world food prices and government concerns about longer-term national food and energy security have both made land a more attractive asset.
Dubbed ‘land grabs’ in the media, large-scale land acquisitions have become one of the most talked about and contentious topics amongst those studying, working in or writing about Africa. Some commentators have welcomed this trend as a bearer of new livelihood opportunities. Others have countered by pointing to negative social impacts, including loss of local land rights, threats to local food security and the risk that large-scale investments may marginalize family farming.