CLIMATE ADAPTATION

I want to punch climate change in the face. A blog about the interactions between the built environment, people, and nature.


about.me - FAQs - Follow - Face - Ask - Donations - Climate Book Store

Recent Tweets @climatecote
Posts tagged "IPCC"

Curious about the IPCC’s adaptation report? Here’s a free webinar discussing the report and its implications.

This is the biggest scientific climate change report in all of history. Ever." - Mr. Michel Jarraud World Meteorological Organization

IPCC releases its report on climate impacts. Streaming live now. Here.

Webcast of IPCC press conference (PDF)
YOKOHAMA, Japan, 27 March 2014 – The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is holding a press conference at 08:00 p.m. EST tonight / 09.00 a.m. Yokohama time on Monday 31 March 2014 to present the Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group II contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report.
This press conference will be webcast in English, Japanese and Spanish and can be followed live.
For English go to:
For Japanese go to:
For Spanish go to:
For original go to:

Notes for editors

The IPCC is considering the Working Group II contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report, dealing with impacts, adaptation and vulnerability, in Yokohama, Japan, on 25-29 March 2014. The Summary for Policymakers and full report will be released on 31 March. The full report will be published online in August and in book form a few months later.
The Working Group I contribution, on the physical science basis of climate change, was released on 27 September 2013 and the full report published on 30 January 2014. The Working Group III contribution will be considered by the IPCC in Berlin on 7-11 April 2014. The Fifth Assessment Report will be completed with the Synthesis Report that will be considered by the IPCC in Copenhagen on 27-31 October 2014.

HUGE: IPCC releases Fifth Assessment report! Five years in the making, the report synthesizes the top climate science known to humankind.

Do you know of key journal articles, open access or not, for getting a science inclined person acquainted with the climate change response field? i.e. not focused on super technical details but also not hand waving?
climateadaptation climateadaptation Said:

Hi unstable-equilibria!

Sorry for the epic delay and happy 2014! Go with these three:

  1. RealClimate.org. Bookmark and read often. It’s written by some of the top climate scientists in the world, and there is nearly zero hand-waving or advocacy. Just the facts.
  2. IPCC Fifth Assessment. Hands down the best climate science on the planet.
  3. U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP). Little known, the USGCRP is the US government’s climate science program. It’s was established by law in 1990. They publish tons of climate science that’s easy to read. Their reports contain great bibliographies, too.

These are the best of the best. There are a ton of rabbit holes to get lost in on the above sites, so I advise taking a gentle-but-steady approach - focus on reading one report per month rather than click click clicking your way around… 

Keep in touch and let me know how it goes over the next year…

Michael

On why the LATimes avoids publishing op-eds by climate deniers. Well done, LATimes.

What The Science Says

Surface temperature measurements are affected by short-term climate variability, and recent warming of deep oceans.

Why doesn’t the temperature rise at the same rate that CO2 increases?

The amount of CO2 is increasing all the time - we just passed a landmark 400 parts per million concentration of atmospheric CO2, up from around 280ppm before the industrial revolution. That’s a 42.8% increase.

A tiny amount of CO2 and other greenhouse gases, like methane and water vapour, keep the Earth’s surface 33°Celsius (59.4°F) warmer than it would be without them. We have added 42% more CO2 but that doesn’t mean the temperature will go up by 42% too.

There are several reasons why. Doubling the amount of CO2 does not double the greenhouse effect. The way the climate reacts is also complex, and it is difficult to separate the effects of natural changes from man-made ones over short periods of time.

As the amount of man-made CO2 goes up, temperatures do not rise at the same rate. In fact, although estimates vary - climate sensitivity is a hot topic in climate science, if you’ll forgive the pun - the last IPCC report (AR4) described the likely range as between 2 and 4.5 degrees C, for double the amount of CO2 compared to pre-industrial levels.

So far, the average global temperature has gone up by about 0.8 degrees C (1.4 F).

According to an ongoing temperature analysis conducted by scientists at NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS)…the average global temperature on Earth has increased by about 0.8°Celsius (1.4°Fahrenheit) since 1880. Two-thirds of the warming has occurred since 1975, at a rate of roughly 0.15-0.20°C per decade.” Source: NASA Earth Observatory

Via SkepticalScience

Must see talk by Dr. Kevin Anderson of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research. He shows how most climate scientists are being disingenuous about the dangers of climate change. That their estimates are far too low due, in part, to the current trend of scientists working with the public (e.g., post-normal science).

The above climate talk is among my my top 10 favorites. It’s also a sobering reality check for the CO2/350 crowd.

There is now little to no chance of maintaining the rise in global mean surface temperature at below 2°C, despite repeated high-level statements to the contrary.

It led to the creation of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), which publishes major climate reports every five-ish years. These reports are the primary source for many policy maker’s (and media’s) climate science and knowledge. I play a minor role in the IPCC’s reports. Here’s how.

Organized by the World Meteorological Organization, it was held in Geneva, Switzerland. Researchers and a few policy makers gathered to present new scientific observations about global warming and its impacts. It also explored new techniques on monitoring systems.

One of the main drivers of holding a Climate Conference was increased awareness that food, drought, and other climate related systems were much more sensitive to fluctuations. Several disasters in the 1960s and 70s created a fundamental need for more climate science to better understand these systems. It was showcased increased scientific knowledge that GHGs caused warming, and that governments around the world needed to take some sort of pre-emptive action before system collapse.

The First World Climate Conference recognized climate change as a serious problem in 1979. This scientific gathering explored how climate change might affect human activities. It issued a declaration calling on the world’s governments “to foresee and prevent potential man-made changes in climate that might be adverse to the well-being of humanity”. It also endorsed plans to establish a World Climate Programme (WCP) under the joint responsibility of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), and the International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU). Via UNFCCC

Several programs were created as a result of the World Climate Conference, including the World Climate Programme and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (e.g., the IPCC).

The IPCC was established in 1988, and released its first report in 1990. The IPCC issues highly peer-reviewed, non-political climate reports about every 5 years. Their 5th report will be published in 2014. Here’s a link to the 4th report summary, published in 2007.

These reports are written by the top scientists and researchers in the world. I play a minor role in the IPCC.

The reports are divided into three chapters: The Physical Science; Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability; and Mitigation. Each chapter is written by a committee, called a Working Group, comprised of several hundred to over a thousand scientists. These Working Groups peer review the available climate science. They then write a meta-analysis and conclusions based on their reviews.

Next, each of the three chapters are reviewed and edited by what’s called Expert Reviewers, of which I am one. I’m currently reviewing/editing Working Group II’s 5th Report: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Fun stuff…

You can see some of the work the WGII has done, here.