“(T)ranslating scientific observations and analyses of changes in water availability into water management policy can be a challenge. To address this, the researchers devised a methodology to identify policy options based on scientific evidence.
They began by using a water availability and policy assessment (WAPA) model that takes data on rivers, reservoirs, water flow, environmental conditions and agricultural and urban demand to link supply, demand and management options.
When applied to climate change scenarios for the Ebro basin in the Mediterranean, the WAPA model made predictions similar to those of the IPCC and the European Environment Agency. It indicated that flood risk would increase, as would spring and summer drought. The model could also use information on water demand in the region to help identify management options under climate change scenarios.
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